Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

Source: China Times

December 27, 2011

1. The Presidential Election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14th, 2012. Are you going to vote?

Definite yes/ Yes	78.7%
Possibly	3.0%
Not sure	9.4%
No/ Don’t know	8.9%

2. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you support?

KMT Ma-Wu ticket	41.6%
DPP Tsai-Su ticket	36.8%
PFP James Soong	6.8%
No response	14.8%

3. Which of the following tickets do you think is likely to win the 2012 Presidential election?

KMT Ma-Wu ticket	39.4%
DPP Tsai-Su ticket	29.4%
PFP Soong-Lin ticket	0.6%
No response	30.6%

4. Support ratings by regions

	Ma-Wu ticket	Tsai-Su ticket	Soong-Lin ticket
Taipei City, New Taipei City, and Keelung	46.0%	34.0%	7.0%
Taoyuan, HsinChu and Miaoli	51.0%	30.0%	7.0%
Taichung, Changhua and Nantou	44.0%	36.0%	5.0%
Yulin, Chiayi, and Tainan	26.0%	50.0%	7.0%
Kaohsiung, Pingtung, and Penghu	34.0%	39.0%	7.0%
Yilan, Hualien, Taitung, Kinmen and Matsu	48.0%	33.0%	11.0%

5. Support ratings of independent voters

KMT Ma Ying-jeou	21.0%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	20.0%
PFP James Soong	11.0%

6. Support ratings of pan-Blue camp supporters

KMT Ma Ying-jeou	81.0%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	4.0%
PFP James Soong	9.0%

7. Support ratings of pan-Green camp supporters

KMT Ma Ying-jeou	6.0%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	83.0%
PFP James Soong	2.0%

8. Support ratings of male voters

KMT Ma Ying-jeou	40.0%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	37.0%
PFP James Soong	10.0%

9. Support ratings of female voters

KMT Ma Ying-jeou	44.0%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	36.0%
PFP James Soong	4.0%

The latest poll was conducted on December 26, with 1,183people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.8 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

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