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Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

icon2011/12/27
iconBrowse:1600

Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

 

Source: China Times

 

December 27, 2011

 

1. The Presidential Election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14th, 2012. Are you going to vote?

Definite yes/ Yes

78.7%

Possibly

3.0%

Not sure

9.4%

No/ Don’t know

8.9%

 

2. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you support?

KMT Ma-Wu ticket

41.6%

DPP Tsai-Su ticket

36.8%

PFP James Soong

6.8%

No response

14.8%

 

3. Which of the following tickets do you think is likely to win the 2012 Presidential election?

KMT Ma-Wu ticket

39.4%

DPP Tsai-Su ticket

29.4%

PFP Soong-Lin ticket

0.6%

No response

30.6%

 

4. Support ratings by regions

 

Ma-Wu ticket

Tsai-Su ticket

Soong-Lin ticket

Taipei City, New Taipei City, and Keelung

46.0%

34.0%

7.0%

Taoyuan, HsinChu and Miaoli

51.0%

30.0%

7.0%

Taichung, Changhua and Nantou

44.0%

36.0%

5.0%

Yulin, Chiayi, and Tainan

26.0%

50.0%

7.0%

Kaohsiung, Pingtung, and Penghu

34.0%

39.0%

7.0%

Yilan, Hualien, Taitung, Kinmen and Matsu

48.0%

33.0%

11.0%

 

 

 

 

5. Support ratings of independent voters

KMT Ma Ying-jeou

21.0%

DPP Tsai Ing-wen

20.0%

PFP James Soong

11.0%

 

6. Support ratings of pan-Blue camp supporters

KMT Ma Ying-jeou

81.0%

DPP Tsai Ing-wen

4.0%

PFP James Soong

9.0%

 

7. Support ratings of pan-Green camp supporters

KMT Ma Ying-jeou

6.0%

DPP Tsai Ing-wen

83.0%

PFP James Soong

2.0%

 

8. Support ratings of male voters

KMT Ma Ying-jeou

40.0%

DPP Tsai Ing-wen

37.0%

PFP James Soong

10.0%

 

9. Support ratings of female voters

KMT Ma Ying-jeou

44.0%

DPP Tsai Ing-wen

36.0%

PFP James Soong

4.0%

 

The latest poll was conducted on December 26, with 1,183people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.8 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

 

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