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Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
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 2011/12/30
Browse：1903
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Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
Source: Now News
December 30, 2011
1) If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you support?
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2011/9/16
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2011/10/11
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2011/11/8
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2011/11/24
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2011/12/6
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2011/12/30
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KMT Ma-Wu ticket
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33.4%
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37%
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35.0%
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39%
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39%
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37.6%
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DPP Tsai-Su ticket
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27.9%
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30.5%
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33.2%
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35.8%
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32.9%
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31.5%
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PFP Soong-Lin ticket
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11.4%
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13.3%
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13.1%
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9.9%
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7%
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6.6%
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Undecided
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-
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-
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8.7%
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14.8%
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21.2%
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24.4%
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2) The Presidential Election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14th, 2012. Are you going to vote?
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2011/9/16
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2011/10/12
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2011/11/8
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2011/11/24
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2011/12/30
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Definitely yes
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60.5%
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60.4%
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61.3%
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63.9%
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68.3%
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Possibly
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23.7%
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25.1%
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24.0%
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24.5%
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16.8%
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Not sure
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10.7%
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10.1%
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12.1%
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8.9%
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12.7%
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No opinion
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5.0%
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4.4%
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2.7%
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2.8%
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-
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3) Which of the following candidates do you think is likely to win the 2012 Presidential election?
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2011/12/6
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2011/12/30
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KMT Ma Ying-jeou
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44.9%
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43.7%
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DPP Tsai Ing-wen
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29%
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28.3%
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PFP James Soong
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2.1%
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1.7%
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4) Support ratings for Presidential candidates according to polls conducted by Taiwan’s various media outlets (arranged by Now News)
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Now News
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TVBS
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China Times
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Liberty Times
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Date
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2011/12/6
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2011/12/30
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2011/12/4
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2011/12/27
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2011/12/4
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2011/12/27
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2011/11/24
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2011/12/16
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KMT Ma Ying-jeou
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39%
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37.6%
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38%
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44%
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39.9%
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42%
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33.39%
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34.5%
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DPP Tsai Ing-wen
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32.9%
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31.5%
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32%
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38%
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32.69%
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37%
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35.79%
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33.26%
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PFP James Soong
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7%
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6.6%
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12%
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6%
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8.9%
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7%
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9.8%
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10.81%
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Apple Daily
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United Daily News
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Date
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2011/12/4
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2011/12/26
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2011/12/4
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2011/12/18
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KMT Ma Ying-jeou
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47.04%
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40.2%
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39%
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41%
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DPP Tsai Ing-wen
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36.9%
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32.2%
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32%
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33%
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PFP James Soong
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12.11%
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5.5%
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10%
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10%
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5) Our legislative elections have adopted a "single-seat district, two-ballot" electoral system. Voters cast two ballots, one for the candidate they support, and the other for the political party they support. In addition to casting a ballot for the candidate you support, you also need to cast a ballot for a party. Which of the following parties will you vote for?
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2011/11/8
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2011/11/24
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2011/12/6
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2011/12/30
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KMT
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34.4%
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39.8%
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38.5%
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33.7%
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DPP
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33.1%
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33.8%
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28.9%
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29.9%
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PFP
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4.2%
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3.7%
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4.1%
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4.0%
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TSU
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-
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-
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-
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3.8%
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Other political parties
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5.6%
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3.7%
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5.6%
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4.3%
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No opinion
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22.7%
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18.9%
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22.8%
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24.3%
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The latest poll was conducted between December 28 and 29 with 1,224 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.81 % with a 95 % confidence interval.
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Attachment
: none
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