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ERA Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
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 2011/09/06
Browse：1452
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ERA Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
Source: ERA Survey Research Center
September 6, 2011
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01) If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?
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Total
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DPP
Tsai Ing-wen
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KMT
Ma Ying-Jeou
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Don’t know/
Declined to answer
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Total
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30.3%
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36.9%
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32.8%
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1076
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Pan-Blue
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6.0%
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72.3%
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21.7%
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472
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Pan-Green
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73.7%
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8.6%
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17.7%
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359
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Independent
voters
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11.8%
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9.7%
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78.4%
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177
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6/21
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37.4%
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34.9%
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27.8%
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982
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7/8-7/9
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33.1%
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38.6%
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28.4%
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1075
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8/3-8/5
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30.1%
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33.1%
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36.8%
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1054
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9/2-9/3
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30.3%
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36.9%
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32.8%
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1076
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02) If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?
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Total
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DPP
Tsai Ing-wen
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KMT
Ma Ying-Jeou
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PFP
James Soong
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Don’t know/Declined to answer
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Total
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28.6%
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35.2%
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14.3%
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21.9%
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1076
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Pan-Blue
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5.5%
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66.5%
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17.0%
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11.0%
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472
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Pan-Green
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69.7%
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8.8%
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13.3%
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8.2%
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359
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Independent
voters
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13.8%
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14.5%
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9.4%
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62.3%
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177
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7/8-7/9
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33.9%
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35.8%
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8.6%
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21.6%
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1075
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8/3-8/5
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27.7%
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29.3%
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15.4%
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27.6%
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1054
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9/2-9/3
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28.6%
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35.2%
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14.3%
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21.9%
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1076
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03) We have adopted a "single-seat district, two-ballot" electoral system in our Legislative elections. Voters cast two ballots, one for the candidate they support, and the other for the political party they support. Which of the following parties will you vote for?
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Total
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KMT
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DPP
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PFP
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Taiwan Solidarity Union
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Non-partisan Solidarity
Union
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New Party
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Other parties
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Don’t know/Declined to answer
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Total
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36.4%
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29.2%
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4.9%
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1.4%
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2.5%
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0.7%
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0.2%
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24.7%
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1076
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7/8-7/9
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36.7%
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31.0%
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3.7%
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1.6%
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2.9%
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0.6%
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0.35
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23.2%
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1075
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8/3-8/5
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31.7%
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24.6%
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6.1%
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2.4%
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3.7%
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0.5%
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0.1%
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30.8%
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1054
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9/2-9/3
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36.4%
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29.2%
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4.9%
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1.4%
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2.5%
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0.7%
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0.2%
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24.7%
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1076
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04) James Soong said that he would like to debate President Ma Ying-jeou in order to decide a Presidential candidate acceptable to the pan-Blue camp and Taiwan. Do you agree?
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Total
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Totally agree
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Agree somewhat
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Disagree somewhat
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Totally disagree
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Don’t know/Declined to answer
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Total
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16.4%
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34.5%
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12.2%
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11.5%
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25.3%
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1076
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Pan-Blue
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13.9%
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37.7%
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16.4%
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16.8%
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15.2%
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472
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Pan-Green
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25.3%
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36.2%
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8.5%
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7.7%
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22.3%
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359
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Independent
voters
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8.6%
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27.7%
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11.1%
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6.1%
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46.5%
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177
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05) According to press reports, James Soong is launching a signature drive. Do you intend to participate in the signature drive and support James Soong to run in the Presidential election?
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Total
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Definitely yes
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Possible
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No
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Don’t know/Declined to answer
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Total
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11.2%
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12.2%
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66.6%
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10.0%
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1076
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Pan-Blue
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10.4%
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10.9%
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74.7%
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4.0%
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472
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Pan-Green
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16.85
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15.8%
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61.8%
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5.6%
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359
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Independent
voters
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3.6%
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7.3%
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60.6%
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28.5%
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177
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06) Overall, are you satisfied with President Ma Ying-jeou’s performance over the past three years?
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Total
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Very satisfied
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Somewhat satisfied
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Somewhat dissatisfied
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Very dissatisfied
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Don’t know/Declined to answer
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Total
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2.9%
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36.2%
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27.1%
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21.8%
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12.0%
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1076
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Pan-Blue
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6.0%
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55.0%
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23.0%
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7.3%
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8.7%
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472
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Pan-Green
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0.1%
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15.8%
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33.6%
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44.8%
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5.6%
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359
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Independent
voters
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1.1%
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26.8%
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27.4%
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17.5%
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27.1%
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177
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6/21
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41.13%
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46.18%
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12.68%
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982
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7/8-7/9
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3.9%
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34.1%
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28.3%
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21.2%
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12.5%
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1075
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9/2-9/3
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2.9%
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36.2%
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27.1%
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21.8%
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12.0%
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1076
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The latest poll was conducted from 18:10 pm to 22:00 pm between September 2 and 3 with 1,076 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 3 % with a 95 % confidence interval.
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Attachment
: none
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