|
TVBS Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
|
 2011/09/19
Browse：991
|
TVBS Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
Source: TVBS
Sep 14, 2011
1. The Presidential election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14th, 2012. Are you going to vote?
|
|
2011/4/27
|
2011/5/19
|
2011/5/30
|
2011/6/20
|
2011/7/7
|
2011/7/21
|
2011/8/15
|
2011/8/30
|
2011/9/14
|
|
Definitely yes
|
64%
|
61%
|
59%
|
59%
|
57%
|
59%
|
65%
|
59%
|
56%
|
|
Possibly
|
22%
|
23%
|
22%
|
23%
|
23%
|
22%
|
20%
|
21%
|
24%
|
|
Not Sure
|
6%
|
5%
|
6%
|
7%
|
6%
|
6%
|
4%
|
6%
|
6%
|
|
Definitely no
|
9%
|
11%
|
13%
|
10%
|
13%
|
14%
|
11%
|
14%
|
14%
|
2. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?
|
|
2011/4/27
|
2011/5/19
|
2011/5/30
|
2011/6/20
|
2011/7/7
|
2011/7/21
|
2011/8/15
|
2011/8/30
|
2011/9/14
|
|
KMT Ma Ying-jeou
|
43%
|
45%
|
46%
|
44%
|
44%
|
45%
|
46%
|
46%
|
48%
|
|
DPP Tsai Ing-wen
|
42%
|
44%
|
42%
|
39%
|
36%
|
38%
|
39%
|
37%
|
37%
|
|
Undecided
|
15%
|
10%
|
10%
|
16%
|
17%
|
16%
|
14%
|
17%
|
16%
|
3. According to press reports, People First Party Chairman James Soong may still decide to participate in the 2012 Presidential election. If James Soong becomes a third candidate, and you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?
|
|
2011/7/21
|
2011/8/15
|
2011/8/30
|
2011/9/14
|
|
KMT Ma Ying-jeou
|
38%
|
39%
|
40%
|
42%
|
|
DPP Tsai Ing-wen
|
36%
|
35%
|
32%
|
34%
|
|
PFP James Soong
|
13%
|
16%
|
17%
|
14%
|
|
Undecided
|
12%
|
9%
|
12%
|
10%
|
4. Our legislative elections have adopted a "single-seat district, two-ballot" electoral system. Voters cast two ballots, one for the candidate they support, and the other for the political party they support. In addition to casting a ballot for the candidate you support, you also need to cast a ballot for a party. Which of the following parties will you vote for?
| |
2011/6/7
|
2011/7/7
|
20117/21
|
2011/8/15
|
2011/9/14
|
|
KMT
|
38%
|
36%
|
37%
|
36%
|
35%
|
|
DPP
|
31%
|
30%
|
31%
|
31%
|
30%
|
|
People First Party
|
2%
|
3%
|
5%
|
8%
|
6%
|
|
Taiwan Solidarity Union
|
1%
|
1%
|
2%
|
2%
|
2%
|
|
Non-Partisan Solidarity Union
|
2%
|
2%
|
1%
|
1%
|
1%
|
|
New Party
|
0.4%
|
1%
|
1%
|
1%
|
1%
|
|
Other parties
|
0.5%
|
0.3%
|
2%
|
1%
|
0.5%
|
|
Not yet decided
|
25%
|
28%
|
22%
|
20
|
24
|
5. Do you have confidence in the three following candidates regarding their capability of ruling the nation?
|
|
Ma Ying-jeou
|
Tsai Ing-wen
|
James Soong
|
|
Very confident
|
8%
|
9%
|
9%
|
|
Somewhat confident
|
30%
|
27%
|
28%
|
|
Somewhat unconfident
|
29%
|
26%
|
26%
|
|
Very unconfident
|
17%
|
18%
|
15%
|
|
No opinion
|
16%
|
21%
|
22%
|
Note: The latest poll was conducted from 18:30 pm to 22:00 pm between September 13 and 14 with 1,023 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 3.1 % with a 95 % confidence interval.
|
Attachment
: none
|
|