|
TVBS Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
|
 2011/09/30
Browse：1838
|
TVBS Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
Source: TVBS
September 28, 2011
1. The Presidential election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14th, 2012. Are you going to vote?
|
|
2011/4/27
|
2011/5/19
|
2011/5/30
|
2011/6/20
|
2011/7/7
|
2011/7/21
|
2011/8/15
|
2011/8/30
|
2011/9/14
|
|
Definitely yes
|
64%
|
61%
|
59%
|
59%
|
57%
|
59%
|
65%
|
59%
|
56%
|
|
Possibly
|
22%
|
23%
|
22%
|
23%
|
23%
|
22%
|
20%
|
21%
|
24%
|
|
Not Sure
|
6%
|
5%
|
6%
|
7%
|
6%
|
6%
|
4%
|
6%
|
6%
|
|
Definitely no
|
9%
|
11%
|
13%
|
10%
|
13%
|
14%
|
11%
|
14%
|
14%
|
|
|
2011/9/20
|
2011/9/22
|
2011/9/28
|
|
Definitely yes
|
56%
|
57%
|
55%
|
|
Possibly
|
27%
|
25%
|
26%
|
|
Not Sure
|
5%
|
6%
|
5%
|
|
Definitely no
|
13%
|
12%
|
13%
|
2. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?
|
|
2011/4/27
|
2011/5/19
|
2011/5/30
|
2011/6/20
|
2011/7/7
|
2011/7/21
|
2011/8/15
|
2011/8/30
|
2011/9/14
|
|
KMT Ma-Wu ticket
|
43%
|
45%
|
46%
|
44%
|
44%
|
45%
|
46%
|
46%
|
48%
|
|
DPP Tsai-Su ticket
|
42%
|
44%
|
42%
|
39%
|
36%
|
38%
|
39%
|
37%
|
37%
|
|
Undecided
|
15%
|
10%
|
10%
|
16%
|
17%
|
16%
|
14%
|
17%
|
16%
|
|
|
2011/9/20
|
2011/9/22
|
2011/9/28
|
|
KMT Ma-Wu ticket
|
47%
|
47%
|
46%
|
|
DPP Tsai-Su ticket
|
35%
|
37%
|
38%
|
|
Undecided
|
18%
|
17%
|
17%
|
3. Are you definitely, possibly, or not sure whether you are going to vote for the ticket you support in this survey?
|
|
KMT Ma-Wu ticket
|
DPP Tsai-Su ticket
|
|
Definitely
|
61%
|
57%
|
|
Possibly
|
23%
|
28%
|
|
Not sure
|
14%
|
15%
|
|
No opinion
|
2%
|
1%
|
4. People First Party Chairman James Soong James Soong held a press conference and announced that Lin Ruey-shiung would be his running mate in the 2012 Presidential election. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you vote for?
|
|
2011/7/21
|
2011/8/15
|
2011/8/30
|
2011/9/14
|
2011/9/20
|
2011/9/22
|
2011/9/28
|
|
KMT Ma-Wu ticket
|
38%
|
39%
|
40%
|
42%
|
43%
|
42%
|
40%
|
|
DPP Tsai-Su ticket
|
36%
|
35%
|
32%
|
34%
|
32%
|
32%
|
33%
|
|
PFP Soong-Lin ticket
|
13%
|
16%
|
17%
|
14%
|
14%
|
15%
|
14%
|
|
Undecided
|
12%
|
9%
|
12%
|
10%
|
11%
|
11%
|
13%
|
5. Are you definitely, possibly, or not sure whether you are going to vote for the ticket you support in this survey?
|
|
KMT Ma-Wu ticket
|
DPP Tsai-Su ticket
|
PFP Soong-Lin ticket
|
|
Definitely
|
66%
|
61%
|
55%
|
|
Possibly
|
25%
|
27%
|
29%
|
|
Not sure
|
9%
|
11%
|
15%
|
|
No opinion
|
1%
|
1%
|
2%
|
6. No matter for whom you plan to vote, which of the following candidates do you believe will win the 2012 Presidential election?
|
|
2011/8/15
|
2011/9/28
|
|
Ma Ying-jeou
|
45%
|
43%
|
|
Tsai Ing-wen
|
265
|
23%
|
|
James Soong
|
5%
|
3%
|
|
Don’t know
|
23%
|
31%
|
7. President Ma has been in office for more than three years. Are you satisfied with his performance?
|
|
2011/6/20
|
2011/9/22
|
2011/9/28
|
|
Yes
|
32%
|
32%
|
33%
|
|
No
|
47%
|
48%
|
47%
|
|
No opinion
|
21%
|
21%
|
20%
|
8. No matter for whom you vote, do you like Ma Ying-jeou?
|
|
2011/9/22
|
2011/9/28
|
|
Like him very much
|
8%
|
9%
|
|
Somewhat like him
|
37%
|
35%
|
|
Somewhat dislike him
|
21%
|
21%
|
|
Dislike him very much
|
15%
|
15%
|
|
No opinion
|
18%
|
21%
|
9. No matter for whom you vote, do you like Tsai Ing-wen?
|
|
2011/9/22
|
2011/9/28
|
|
Like her very much
|
10%
|
10%
|
|
Somewhat like her
|
33%
|
36%
|
|
Somewhat dislike her
|
22%
|
18%
|
|
Dislike her very much
|
13%
|
12%
|
|
No opinion
|
23%
|
24%
|
10. No matter for whom you vote, do you like James Soong?
|
|
2011/9/22
|
2011/9/28
|
|
Like him very much
|
7%
|
5%
|
|
Somewhat like him
|
28%
|
29%
|
|
Somewhat dislike him
|
27%
|
24%
|
|
Dislike him very much
|
15%
|
16%
|
|
No opinion
|
24%
|
25%
|
Note: The latest poll was conducted from 18:30 pm to 22:00 pm between September 26 and 28 with 1,668 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.4 % with a 95 % confidence interval.
|
Attachment
: none
|
|