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TVBS Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
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 2011/11/18
Browse：1584
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TVBS Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
Source: TVBS
November 10, 2011
1. The Presidential Election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14th, 2012. Are you going to vote?
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2011/4/27
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2011/5/19
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2011/5/30
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2011/6/20
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2011/7/7
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2011/7/21
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2011/8/15
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2011/8/30
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2011/9/14
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Definitely yes
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64%
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61%
|
59%
|
59%
|
57%
|
59%
|
65%
|
59%
|
56%
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|
Possibly
|
22%
|
23%
|
22%
|
23%
|
23%
|
22%
|
20%
|
21%
|
24%
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Not Sure
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6%
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5%
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6%
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7%
|
6%
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6%
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4%
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6%
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6%
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Definitely no
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9%
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11%
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13%
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10%
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13%
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14%
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11%
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14%
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14%
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2011/9/20
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2011/9/22
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2011/9/28
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2011/11/3
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2011/11/10
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2011/11/16
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Definitely yes
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56%
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57%
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55%
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58%
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59%
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61%
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Possibly
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27%
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25%
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26%
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25%
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23%
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22%
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Not Sure
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5%
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6%
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5%
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5%
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5%
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5%
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Definitely no
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13%
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12%
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13%
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12%
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13%
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11%
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2. The Central Election Commission (CEC) confirmed that People First Party Chairman James Soong James Soong collected enough endorsements to register as candidate in the 2012 Presidential election. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you vote for?
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2011/7/21
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2011/8/15
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2011/8/30
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2011/9/14
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2011/9/20
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2011/9/22
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2011/9/28
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KMT Ma-Wu ticket
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38%
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39%
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40%
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42%
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43%
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42%
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40%
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DPP Tsai-Su ticket
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36%
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35%
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32%
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34%
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32%
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32%
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33%
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PFP Soong-Lin ticket
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13%
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16%
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17%
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14%
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14%
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15%
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14%
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|
Undecided
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12%
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9%
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12%
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10%
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11%
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11%
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13%
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2011/10/6
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2011/10/12
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2011/10/20
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2011/10/26
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2011/10/31
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2011/11/3
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2011/11/10
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2011/11/16
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KMT Ma-Wu ticket
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40%
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38%
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43%
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42%
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39%
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38%
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39%
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39%
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DPP Tsai-Su ticket
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35%
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34%
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35%
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33%
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33%
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35%
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38%
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39%
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PFP Soong-Lin ticket
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13%
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15%
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12%
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13%
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9%
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14%
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9%
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9%
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Undecided
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13%
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13%
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10%
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12%
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20%
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13%
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14%
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12%
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3. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?
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2011/4/27
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2011/5/19
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2011/5/30
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2011/6/20
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2011/7/7
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2011/7/21
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2011/8/15
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2011/8/30
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2011/9/14
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KMT Ma-Wu ticket
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43%
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45%
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46%
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44%
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44%
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45%
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46%
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46%
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48%
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DPP Tsai-Su ticket
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42%
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44%
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42%
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39%
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36%
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38%
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39%
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37%
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37%
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Undecided
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15%
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10%
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10%
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16%
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17%
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16%
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14%
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17%
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16%
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2011/9/20
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2011/9/22
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2011/9/28
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2011/10/6
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2011/10/12
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2011/10/20
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KMT Ma-Wu ticket
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47%
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47%
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46%
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45%
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43%
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45%
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DPP Tsai-Su ticket
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35%
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37%
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38%
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38%
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38%
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39%
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Undecided
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18%
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17%
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17%
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17%
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19%
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16%
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2011/10/26
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2011/10/31
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2011/11/3
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2011/11/10
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2011/11/16
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KMT Ma-Wu ticket
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44%
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46%
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47%
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45%
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46%
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DPP Tsai-Su ticket
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39%
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39%
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42%
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44%
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45%
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Undecided
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17%
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15%
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10%
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11%
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9%
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4. No matter for whom you plan to vote, do you like Ma Ying-jeou?
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2011/9/22
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2011/9/28
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2011/11/3
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2011/11/10
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2011/11/16
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Like him very much
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8%
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9%
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9%
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11%
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11%
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Somewhat like him
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37%
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35%
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32%
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31%
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32%
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Somewhat dislike him
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21%
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21%
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17%
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20%
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18%
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Dislike him very much
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15%
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15%
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17%
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16%
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18%
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No opinion
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18%
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21%
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25%
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23%
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21%
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5. No matter for whom you plan to vote, do you like Tsai Ing-wen?
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2011/9/22
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2011/9/28
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2011/11/3
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2011/11/10
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2011/11/16
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Like her very much
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10%
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10%
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12%
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15%
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14%
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Somewhat like her
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33%
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36%
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30%
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31%
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33%
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Somewhat dislike her
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22%
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18%
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17%
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18%
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17%
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Dislike her very much
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13%
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12%
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13%
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12%
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12%
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No opinion
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23%
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24%
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27%
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24%
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25%
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6. No matter for whom plan to you vote, do you like James Soong?
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2011/9/22
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2011/9/28
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2011/11/3
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2011/11/10
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2011/11/16
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Like him very much
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7%
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5%
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8%
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6%
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5%
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Somewhat like him
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28%
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29%
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27%
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22%
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28%
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Somewhat dislike him
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27%
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24%
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23%
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27%
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25%
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Dislike him very much
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15%
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16%
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12%
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18%
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17%
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No opinion
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24%
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25%
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30%
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27%
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25%
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7. Overall, do you think the following three Presidential candidates are trustworthy?
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Ma Ying-jeou
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Tsai Ing-wen
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James Soong
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Trust-worthy
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47%
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46%
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32%
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Not trust-worthy
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38%
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31%
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45%
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No opinion
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15%
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24%
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23%
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8. According to press reports, the DPP says that Mainland China will help Ma Ying-jeou to win the 2012 Presidential election through all means at their disposal. Do you believe this?
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Yes
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28%
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No
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50%
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No opinion
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22%
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9. If you plan on voting for James Soong but decide he is unlikely to win the 2012 Presidential election, will you switch your vote to Ma Ying-jeou or Tsai Ing-wen, or insist on voting for James Soong?
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2011/11/10
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2011/11/16
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Ma Ying-jeou
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11%
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19%
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Tsai Ing-wen
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3%
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8%
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James Soong
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76%
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65%
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Cast invalid votes/Don’t go to vote
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2%
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5%
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Don’t know
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8%
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3%
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Note: The latest poll was conducted from 18:30 pm to 22:00 pm between November 15 and 16 with 1,320 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.7 % with a 95 % confidence interval.
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Attachment
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