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Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

icon2011/11/24
iconBrowse:1643

Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

 

Source: Now News

 

November 24, 2011

 

1) If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you support?

 

2011/9/16

2011/10/11

2011/11/8

2011/11/24

KMT Ma-Wu ticket

33.4%

37%

35.0%

39%

DPP Tsai-Su ticket

27.9%

30.5%

33.2%

35.8%

PFP Soong-Lin ticket

11.4%

13.3%

13.1%

9.9%

Undecided

-

-

8.7%

14.8%

 

 

2) The Presidential election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14th, 2012.  Are you going to vote?

 

2011/9/16

2011/10/12

2011/11/8

2011/11/24

Definitely yes

60.5%

60.4%

61.3%

63.9%

Possibly

23.7%

25.1%

24.0%

24.5%

Not sure

10.7%

10.1%

12.1%

8.9%

No opinion

5.0%

4.4%

2.7%

2.8%

 

 

3) If in the end James Soong does not run in the 2012 Presidential election, will you switch your vote to Ma Ying-jeou or Tsai Ing-wen?

KMT Ma-Wu ticket

46.1%

DPP Tsai-Su ticket

19.4%

No opinion

34.6%

 

 

4) Our legislative elections have adopted a "single-seat district, two-ballot" electoral system. Voters cast two ballots, one for the candidate they support, and the other for the political party they support. In addition to casting a ballot for the candidate you support, you also need to cast a ballot for a party. Which of the following parties will you vote for?

 

2011/11/8

2011/11/24

KMT

34.4%

39.8%

DPP

33.1%

33.8%

PFP

4.2%

3.7%

Other political parties

5.6%

3.7%

No opinion

22.7%

18.9%

 

5) Support ratings for Presidential candidates according to polls conducted by Taiwan’s various media outlets (arranged by Now News)

 

Now News

TVBS

China Times

Liberty Times

Date

2011/11/18

2011/11/24

2011/11/4

2011/11/17

2011/11/7

2011/11/22

2011/10/27

2011/11/10

KMT Ma Ying-jeou

35.0%

39%

38%

39%

41%

43%

31.9%

33.58%

DPP Tsai Ing-wen

33.2%

35.8%

35%

39%

37%

38%

30.3%

32.97%

PFP James Soong

13.1%

9.9%

14%

9%

10%

10%

11.1%

11.17%

 

 

Apple Daily

United Daily News

Date

2011/10/18

2011/10/17

2011/11/21

2011/11/13

KMT Ma Ying-jeou

34%

43%

37.2%

40.8%

DPP Tsai Ing-wen

26.4%

32%

30.2%

36.04%

PFP James Soong

10.2%

11%

7.7%

9%

 

The latest poll was conducted between November 22 and 23 with 1,224 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.80 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

 

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