Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
2011/11/29
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Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
Source: United Daily News
November 29, 2011
1. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you support?
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2011/7/1
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2011/8/14
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2011/9/14
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2011/10/15
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Ma
Ying-jeou (KMT)
|
Tsai Ing-wen
(DPP)
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Ma Ying-jeou
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Tsai
Ing-wen
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Ma-Wu
ticket
|
Tsai-Su ticket
|
Ma-Wu
ticket
|
Tsai-Su ticket
|
Soong-Lin ticket
|
Overall
|
43
|
37
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44
|
36
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46
|
39
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46
|
36
|
11
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Taipei City, New Taipei City, and Keelung
|
45
|
37
|
50
|
32
|
51
|
35
|
49
|
34
|
13
|
Taoyuan, HsinChu and Miaoli
|
50
|
31
|
51
|
27
|
55
|
30
|
55
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31
|
10
|
Taichung, Changhua and Nantou
|
45
|
32
|
45
|
33
|
44
|
39
|
46
|
32
|
10
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Yulin, Chiayi, and Tainan
|
32
|
48
|
33
|
44
|
36
|
45
|
38
|
44
|
9
|
Kaohsiung, Pingtung, and Penghu
|
38
|
44
|
37
|
44
|
36
|
49
|
38
|
43
|
10
|
Yilan, Hualien, Taitung, Kinmen and Matsu
|
43
|
29
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46
|
33
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50
|
34
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57
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25
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8
|
|
2011/11/12
|
2011/11/29
|
Ma-Wu
ticket
|
Tsai-Su ticket
|
Soong-Lin ticket
|
Ma-Wu
ticket
|
Tsai-Su ticket
|
Soong-Lin ticket
|
Overall
|
41
|
36
|
9
|
41
|
35
|
10
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Taipei City, New Taipei City, and Keelung
|
43
|
36
|
9
|
44
|
33
|
10
|
Taoyuan, Hsinchu and Miaoli
|
48
|
27
|
10
|
44
|
32
|
12
|
Taichung, Changhua and Nantou
|
35
|
40
|
10
|
45
|
25
|
11
|
Yulin, Chiayi, and Tainan
|
36
|
41
|
11
|
29
|
45
|
8
|
Kaohsiung, Pingtung, and Penghu
|
37
|
40
|
8
|
37
|
44
|
7
|
Yilan, Hualien, Taitung, Kinmen and Matsu
|
53
|
29
|
8
|
43
|
28
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16
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2. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you support?
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2011/9/14
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2011/10/15
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2011/11/13
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2011/11/29
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Ma Ying-jeou
|
40%
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43%
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41%
|
41%
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Tsai Ing-wen
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32%
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32%
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36%
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35%
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James Soong
|
13%
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11%
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9%
|
10%
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Undecided
|
14%
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14%
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13%
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14%
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3. Our legislative elections have adopted a "single-seat district, two-ballot" electoral system. Voters cast two ballots, one for the candidate they support, and the other for the political party they support. Which political party do you support?
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2011/8/14
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2011/9/14
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2011/10/15
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2011/11/12
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2011/11/29
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KMT
|
37%
|
38%
|
39%
|
40%
|
40%
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DPP
|
30%
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34%
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31%
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30%
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32%
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PFP
|
5%
|
4%
|
5%
|
4%
|
4%
|
Other political parties
|
2%
|
2%
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2%
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2%
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2%
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4. The Presidential Election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14th, 2012. Did you know this?
6 months before the election
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31%
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5 months before the election
|
32%
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4 months before the election
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36%
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3 months before the election
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44%
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2 months before the election
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55%
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One and half momths before the election
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63%
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5. Which of the following candidates do you think is likely to win the 2012 Presidential Election?
KMT Ma-Wu ticket
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40%
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DPP Tsai-Su ticket
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27%
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6. Public impression of KMT Ma Ying-jeou and DPP Tsai Ing-wen
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Like
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Dislike
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No opinion or special feeling
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KMT Ma Ying-jeou
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40%
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19%
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39%
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DPP Tsai Ing-wen
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38%
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18%
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43%
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The latest poll was conducted between November 24 and 27 with 2,013people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.2 % with a 95 % confidence interval.
Attachment
: none
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