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Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

icon2011/11/29
iconBrowse:1433

Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

 

Source: United Daily News

 

November 29, 2011

 

1. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you support?

 

 

 

2011/7/1

2011/8/14

 

2011/9/14

2011/10/15

Ma

Ying-jeou (KMT)

Tsai Ing-wen

(DPP)

Ma Ying-jeou

Tsai

Ing-wen

Ma-Wu

ticket

Tsai-Su ticket

Ma-Wu

ticket

Tsai-Su ticket

Soong-Lin ticket

Overall

43

37

44

36

46

39

46

36

11

Taipei City, New Taipei City, and Keelung

45

37

50

32

51

35

49

34

13

Taoyuan, HsinChu and Miaoli

50

31

51

27

55

30

55

31

10

Taichung, Changhua and Nantou 

45

32

45

33

44

39

46

32

10

Yulin, Chiayi, and Tainan

32

48

33

44

36

45

38

44

9

Kaohsiung, Pingtung, and Penghu

38

44

37

44

36

49

38

43

10

Yilan, Hualien, Taitung, Kinmen and Matsu

43

29

46

33

50

34

57

25

8

 

 

 

 

2011/11/12

2011/11/29

Ma-Wu

ticket

Tsai-Su ticket

Soong-Lin ticket

Ma-Wu

ticket

Tsai-Su ticket

Soong-Lin ticket

Overall

41

36

9

41

35

10

Taipei City, New Taipei City, and Keelung

43

36

9

44

33

10

Taoyuan, Hsinchu and Miaoli

48

27

10

44

32

12

Taichung, Changhua and Nantou 

35

40

10

45

25

11

Yulin, Chiayi, and Tainan

36

41

11

29

45

8

Kaohsiung, Pingtung, and Penghu

37

40

8

37

44

7

Yilan, Hualien, Taitung, Kinmen and Matsu

53

29

8

43

28

16

 

 

2. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you support?

 

 

2011/9/14

2011/10/15

2011/11/13

2011/11/29

Ma Ying-jeou

40%

43%

41%

41%

Tsai Ing-wen

32%

32%

36%

35%

James Soong

13%

11%

9%

10%

Undecided

14%

14%

13%

14%

 

3. Our legislative elections have adopted a "single-seat district, two-ballot" electoral system. Voters cast two ballots, one for the candidate they support, and the other for the political party they support. Which political party do you support?

 

2011/8/14

2011/9/14

2011/10/15

2011/11/12

2011/11/29

KMT

37%

38%

39%

40%

40%

DPP

30%

34%

31%

30%

32%

PFP

5%

4%

5%

4%

4%

Other political parties

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

 

4. The Presidential Election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14th, 2012.  Did you know this?

6 months before the election

31%

5 months before the election

32%

4 months before the election

36%

3 months before the election

44%

2 months before the election

55%

One and half momths before the election

63%

 

5. Which of the following candidates do you think is likely to win the 2012 Presidential Election?

KMT Ma-Wu ticket

40%

DPP Tsai-Su ticket

27%

 

6. Public impression of KMT Ma Ying-jeou and DPP Tsai Ing-wen

 

Like

Dislike

No opinion or special feeling

KMT Ma Ying-jeou

40%

19%

39%

DPP Tsai Ing-wen

38%

18%

43%

 

 

The latest poll was conducted between November 24 and 27 with 2,013people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.2 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

 

 

 

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