TVBS Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

TVBS Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

Source: TVBS

December 3, 2011

1. The Presidential Election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14^th, 2012. Are you going to vote?

	2011/4/27	2011/5/19	2011/5/30	2011/6/20	2011/7/7	2011/7/21	2011/8/15	2011/8/30	2011/9/14
Definitely yes	64%	61%	59%	59%	57%	59%	65%	59%	56%
Possibly	22%	23%	22%	23%	23%	22%	20%	21%	24%
Not Sure	6%	5%	6%	7%	6%	6%	4%	6%	6%
Definitely no	9%	11%	13%	10%	13%	14%	11%	14%	14%

	2011/9/20	2011/9/22	2011/9/28	2011/11/3	2011/11/10	2011/11/16
Definitely yes	56%	57%	55%	58%	59%	61%
Possibly	27%	25%	26%	25%	23%	22%
Not Sure	5%	6%	5%	5%	5%	5%
Definitely no	13%	12%	13%	12%	13%	11%

	2011/11/23	2011/12/1	2011/12/3
Definitely yes	60%	60%	66%
Possibly	22%	21%	19%
Not Sure	4%	7%	5%
Definitely no	13%	12%	10%

2. The Central Election Commission (CEC) confirmed that People First Party Chairman James Soong received enough endorsements to register as a candidate in the 2012 Presidential election. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you vote for?

	2011/7/21	2011/8/15	2011/8/30	2011/9/14	2011/9/20	2011/9/22	2011/9/28
KMT Ma-Wu ticket	38%	39%	40%	42%	43%	42%	40%
DPP Tsai-Su ticket	36%	35%	32%	34%	32%	32%	33%
PFP Soong-Lin ticket	13%	16%	17%	14%	14%	15%	14%
Undecided	12%	9%	12%	10%	11%	11%	13%

	2011/10/6	2011/10/12	2011/10/20	2011/10/26	2011/10/31	2011/11/3	2011/11/10	2011/11/16	2011/11/23
KMT Ma-Wu ticket	40%	38%	43%	42%	39%	38%	39%	39%	40%
DPP Tsai-Su ticket	35%	34%	35%	33%	33%	35%	38%	39%	38%
PFP Soong-Lin ticket	13%	15%	12%	13%	9%	14%	9%	9%	7%
Undecided	13%	13%	10%	12%	20%	13%	14%	12%	15%

	2011/12/1	2011/12/3
KMT Ma-Wu ticket	40%	38%
DPP Tsai-Su ticket	34%	32%
PFP Soong-Lin ticket	7%	12%
Undecided	19%	18%

3.  Did you watch the first televised 2012 Presidential election debate?

	2011/12/3
Yes	42%
No	58%

4. Which of the following candidates did better in the first of the three 2012 Presidential debates?

KMT Ma Ying-jeou	30%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	27%
PFP James Soong	20%
Don’t know	23%

5. Which of the following three candidates do you think proposed the best policies?

KMT Ma Ying-jeou	30%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	28%
PFP James Soong	17%
Don’t know	26%

Note: The latest poll was conducted from 16:30 pm to19:45 pm on December 3 with 984 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 3.3 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

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