Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

Source: Now News

December 6, 2011

1) If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you support?

	2011/9/16	2011/10/11	2011/11/8	2011/11/24	2011/12/6
KMT Ma-Wu ticket	33.4%	37%	35.0%	39%	39%
DPP Tsai-Su ticket	27.9%	30.5%	33.2%	35.8%	32.9%
PFP Soong-Lin ticket	11.4%	13.3%	13.1%	9.9%	7%
Undecided	-	-	8.7%	14.8%	21.2%

2) Which of the following candidates do you think is likely to win the 2012 Presidential election?

KMT Ma Ying-jeou	44.9%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	29%
PFP James Soong	2.1%

3) Our legislative elections have adopted a "single-seat district, two-ballot" electoral system. Voters cast two ballots, one for the candidate they support, and the other for the political party they support. In addition to casting a ballot for the candidate you support, you also need to cast a ballot for a party. Which of the following parties will you vote for?

	2011/11/8	2011/11/24	2011/12/6
KMT	34.4%	39.8%	38.5%
DPP	33.1%	33.8%	28.9%
PFP	4.2%	3.7%	4.1%
Other political parties	5.6%	3.7%	5.6%
No opinion	22.7%	18.9%	22.8%

4)  Support ratings for Presidential candidates according to polls conducted by Taiwan’s various media outlets (arranged by Now News)

	Now News		TVBS		China Times		Liberty Times
Date	2011/11/24	2011/12/6	2011/11/17	2011/12/4	2011/11/22	2011/12/4	2011/11/10	2011/11/24
KMT Ma Ying-jeou	39%	39%	39%	38%	43%	39.9%	33.58%	33.39%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	35.8%	32.9%	39%	32%	38%	32.69%	32.97%	35.79%
PFP James Soong	9.9%	7%	9%	12%	10%	8.9%	11.17%	9.8%

	Apple Daily		United Daily News
Date	2011/10/17	2011/12/4	2011/11/13	2011/12/4
KMT Ma Ying-jeou	43%	47.04%	40.8%	39%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	32%	36.9%	36.04%	32%
PFP James Soong	11%	12.11%	9%	10%

The latest poll was conducted between December 4 and 5 with 1,211 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.82 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

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