TVBS Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

TVBS Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

Source: TVBS

December 17, 2011

1.      The Presidential Election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14^th, 2012.  Are you going to vote?

	2011/4/27	2011/5/19	2011/5/30	2011/6/20	2011/7/7	2011/7/21	2011/8/15	2011/8/30	2011/9/14
Definitely yes	64%	61%	59%	59%	57%	59%	65%	59%	56%
Possibly	22%	23%	22%	23%	23%	22%	20%	21%	24%
Not Sure	6%	5%	6%	7%	6%	6%	4%	6%	6%
Definitely no	9%	11%	13%	10%	13%	14%	11%	14%	14%

	2011/9/20	2011/9/22	2011/9/28	2011/11/3	2011/11/10	2011/11/16
Definitely yes	56%	57%	55%	58%	59%	61%
Possibly	27%	25%	26%	25%	23%	22%
Not Sure	5%	6%	5%	5%	5%	5%
Definitely no	13%	12%	13%	12%	13%	11%

	2011/11/23	2011/12/1	2011/12/3	2011/12/7	2011/12/10	2011/12/14	2011/12/17
Definitely yes	60%	60%	66%	62%	64%	63%	66%
Possibly	22%	21%	19%	21%	18%	21%	18%
Not Sure	4%	7%	5%	5%	7%	6%	6%
Definitely no	13%	12%	10%	12%	11%	10%	11%

2. The Central Election Commission (CEC) confirmed that People First Party Chairman James Soong James Soong has registered as a candidate in the 2012 Presidential Election.  If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you vote for?

	2011/7/21	2011/8/15	2011/8/30	2011/9/14	2011/9/20	2011/9/22	2011/9/28
KMT Ma-Wu ticket	38%	39%	40%	42%	43%	42%	40%
DPP Tsai-Su ticket	36%	35%	32%	34%	32%	32%	33%
PFP Soong-Lin ticket	13%	16%	17%	14%	14%	15%	14%
Undecided	12%	9%	12%	10%	11%	11%	13%

	2011/10/6	2011/10/12	2011/10/20	2011/10/26	2011/10/31	2011/11/3	2011/11/10	2011/11/16	2011/11/23
KMT Ma-Wu ticket	40%	38%	43%	42%	39%	38%	39%	39%	40%
DPP Tsai-Su ticket	35%	34%	35%	33%	33%	35%	38%	39%	38%
PFP Soong-Lin ticket	13%	15%	12%	13%	9%	14%	9%	9%	7%
Undecided	13%	13%	10%	12%	20%	13%	14%	12%	15%

	2011/12/1	2011/12/3	2011/12/7	2011/12/10	2011/12/14	2011/12/17
KMT Ma-Wu ticket	40%	38%	41%	39%	40%	40%
DPP Tsai-Su ticket	34%	32%	37%	39%	38%	36%
PFP Soong-Lin ticket	7%	12%	8%	6%	7%	7%
Undecided	19%	18%	14%	16%	15%	17%

3. Did you watch the televised 2012 Vice Presidential debate?

	2011/12/3	2011/12/17
Yes	42%	35%
No	58%	65%

4.  Which of the following candidates did better in the December 17^th Presidential debate?

	2011/12/3	2011/12/17
KMT Ma Ying-jeou	30%	28%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	27%	33%
PFP James Soong	20%	15%
Don’t know	23%	24%

5.  Which of the following candidates' campaign planks do you think meet your needs?

	2011/12/3	2011/12/17
KMT Ma Ying-jeou	30%	27%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	28%	31%
PFP James Soong	17%	12%
Don’t know	26%	30%

Note: The latest poll was conducted from 16:30 pm to20:00 pm on December 17 with 1,197 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.8 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

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