|
TVBS Public Opinion Poll
|
 2009/03/13
Browse：1420
|
TVBS Public Opinion Poll
(March 13, 2009)
1. Do you support that the Ma Ying-jeou government’s plan to sign an “Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement” (CECA) with Mainland China?
|
|
February 25, 2009
|
Mach 11, 2009
|
|
Yes
|
29%
|
29%
|
|
No
|
32%
|
31%
|
|
No opinion
|
39%
|
41%
|
2. Do you know what a CCFA, or Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement, is?
|
|
February 25, 2009
|
Mach 11, 2009
|
|
Yes
|
35%
|
29%
|
|
No
|
64%
|
71%
|
|
Decline to answer
|
1%
|
0%
|
3. Do you have the confidence that the Ma Ying-jeou government will be able to safeguard Taiwan’s interest when signing an ECFA with Mainland China?
|
Yes
|
35%
|
|
No
|
44%
|
|
No opinion
|
22%
|
4. Do you think that the Ma Ying-jeou government has clearly explained to the people the content of ECFA and its direction?
|
Yes
|
7%
|
|
No
|
68%
|
|
No opinion
|
26%
|
5. 5. Do you think that the Ma Ying-jeou government should clearly explain to the people the content of ECFA and its direction?
|
Yes
|
87%
|
|
No
|
4%
|
|
No opinion
|
9%
|
6. Do you support holding of a referendum on the “Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement” to be held?
|
Yes
|
48%
|
|
No
|
36%
|
|
No opinion
|
16%
|
7. Some people said that signing of an “Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement” would result in the reunification of Taiwan and the Mainland. Do you agree?
|
Yes
|
28%
|
|
No
|
53%
|
|
No opinion
|
19%
|
8. Some people said that the Ma Ying-jeou government’s cross-Strait policies are pro-Mainland China, do you agree?
|
|
100 days after Ma Ying-jeou’s inauguration
(August 26, 2008)
|
Before the Chiang Pin-kun-Chen Yun-lin Talks
(October 258, 2008)
|
After the Chiang Pin-kun-Chen Yun-lin Talks
(November 10, 2008)
|
ECFA controversies
(March 11, 2009)
|
|
YesYes
|
42%
|
46%
|
4%
|
43%
|
|
No No
|
44%
|
40%
|
47%
|
40%
|
|
No No
opinion
|
14%
|
14%
|
11%
|
16%
|
9. Do you think the relations between Taiwan and the Mainland are antagonistic or amicable?
|
|
Antagonistic
|
Amicable
|
Neither antagonistic or amicable
|
Both antagonistic and amicable
|
No opinion
|
|
The establishment of National Unification Council
(July 26, 1998)
|
56%
|
22%
|
6%
|
3%
|
14%
|
|
Qian Qichen's remarks (January 29, 2002)
|
35%
|
25%
|
6%
|
5%
|
30%
|
|
George W. Bush visiting Mainland China
(February 22, 2002)
|
45%
|
29%
|
5%
|
5%
|
16%
|
|
Mainland China Establish formal Diplomatic Ties with Nehru
(July 22, 2002)
|
51%
|
17%
|
7%
|
7%
|
18%57%
|
|
Annette Lu visiting Indonesia
(July 22, 2002)
|
57%
|
13%
|
7%
|
4%
|
19%
|
|
Lien Chan talks about visiting Mainland China
(March 31, 2993)
|
62%
|
11%
|
7%
|
3%
|
23%
|
|
The Mainland’s Taiwan Affairs Office responses to President Chen Shui-bian’s inaugural address
(May 24, 2004)
|
62%
|
11%
|
7%
|
3%
|
18%
|
|
President Chen Shui-bian’s talk on Spring Festival
(February 7, 2006)
|
40%
|
31%
|
5%
|
5%
|
19%
|
|
10 years after the Taiwan Strait Crisis
(March 7, 2006)
|
47%
|
29%
|
5%
|
4%
|
15%
|
|
After the second Chiang-Chen Meeting
(November 10, 2008)
|
32%
|
46%
|
3%
|
2%
|
16%
|
|
ECFA controversies
(March 11, 2009)
|
33%
|
37%
|
5%
|
4%
|
20%
|
10. Unification-independence Trends:
|
|
Independence
|
Unification
|
Status quo
|
No opinion
|
|
Zhu Rongji’s speech
(March 13, 2000)
|
15%
|
15%
|
56%
|
16%
|
|
Chen Shui-bian’s first inauguration
(May 20, 2000)
|
16%
|
14%
|
55%
|
15%
|
|
1st anniversary of his first inauguration
(April 30, 2001)
|
17%
|
18%
|
49%
|
16%
|
|
“One country each side” statement
(August 4, 2002)
|
20%
|
12%
|
58%
|
11%
|
|
3rd anniversary of the power transition
(March 31, 2003)
|
22%
|
23%
|
42%
|
13%
|
|
Chen announced his intentions for referendum
(June 30, 2003)
|
22%
|
10%
|
58%
|
11%
|
|
1 week before passage of the Referendum Act
(December 4, 2003)
|
17%
|
8%
|
66%
|
8%
|
|
Before the vote recount
(May 7, 2004)
|
19%
|
10%
|
64%
|
7%
|
|
Chen’s visit to Central America,
September 7, 2004
|
24%
|
11%
|
54%
|
11%
|
|
Armitage’s statement on Taiwan
(December 22, 2004)
|
19%
|
11%
|
59%
|
10%
|
|
The Anti-Secession Act of Mainland China (March 14, 2005)
|
21%
|
8%
|
58%
|
12%
|
|
Lien Chan’s visit to Mainland China
(April 28, 2005)
|
17%
|
10%
|
58%
|
15%
|
|
After the second recall vote
(October 18, 2006)
|
19%
|
11%
|
60%
|
10%
|
|
The New Year’s Day speech
(January 2, 2007)
|
15%
|
11%
|
58%
|
16%
|
|
“Five Wants” speech
(March 5, 2007)
|
15%
|
9%
|
62%
|
14%
|
|
Hong Kong returned to the Mainland for the 10 year
(June 25, 2007)
|
21%
|
11%
|
57%
|
12%
|
|
US criticizes the
“Join the UN Plebiscite”
(August 29, 2007)
|
23%
|
8%
|
58%
|
11%
|
|
“Siew-Hu Meeting”
(April 15, 2008)
|
19%
|
6%
|
60%
|
15%
|
|
Before the resumption of cross-Strait dialogue
(June 9, 2008)
|
19%
|
8%
|
58%
|
14%
|
|
Before Chen Yun-lin visit Taiwan
(October 28, 2008)
|
24%
|
5%
|
58%
|
14%
|
|
ECFA controversies
(March 11, 2009)
|
19%
|
5%
|
64%
|
12%
|
11. If there were only one option, would you prefer Taiwan to become an independent country or to unify with the Mainland China?
|
|
Taiwan independence
|
Taiwan unify with Mainland China
|
No opinion
|
|
“Five Wants” speech
(March 5, 2007)
|
55%
|
25%
|
20%
|
|
Hong Kong returned to the Mainland for the 10 year
(June 25, 2007)
|
61%
|
23%
|
16%
|
|
US criticizes the
“Join the UN Plebiscite”
(August 29, 2007)
|
65%
|
21%
|
13%
|
|
Before the resumption of cross-Strait dialogue
(June 9, 2008)
|
65%
|
19%
|
16%
|
|
Before Chen Yun-lin visit Taiwan
(October 28, 2008)
|
68%
|
14%
|
18%
|
|
ECFA controversies
(March 11, 2009)
|
66%
|
17%
|
18%
|
12. Do you see yourself as Tai Wan Ren (Taiwanese) or Chung Kuo Ren (Chinese) (The option of both Tai Wan Ren (Taiwanese) and Chung Kuo Ren (Chinese) was not mentioned)?
|
|
Turnover of ruling parties June 30, 2000
|
Before the resumption of cross-Strait dialogue
June 9, 2008
|
ECFA controversies March 11, 2009
|
|
Tai Wan Ren (Taiwanese)
|
58%
|
68%
|
72%
|
|
Chung Kuo Ren (Chinese)
|
18%
|
18%
|
16%
|
|
No opinion/ Refuse to answer
|
24%
|
14%
|
13%
|
13. The trend in national identity recognition:
|
|
Taiwanese
|
Chinese
|
Both
|
No opinion
|
|
Special State-to-state Relationship Theory
(July 12, 1999)
|
35%
|
9%
|
50%
|
5%
|
|
Before the presidential election of 2000
(May 6, 2000)
|
34%
|
8%
|
53%
|
5%
|
|
Before the inauguration of President Chen
(April 28, 2000)
|
37%
|
9%
|
51%
|
3%
|
|
One side, one country
(August 9, 2002)
|
35%
|
9%
|
52%
|
5%
|
|
One year prior to the presidential election 2004
(April 14, 2003)
|
33%
|
6%
|
54%
|
6%
|
|
228 activities
(March 1, 2004)
|
43%
|
7%
|
44%
|
6%
|
|
Winning a gold metal at Olympic Games
(September1, 2004)
|
40%
|
6%
|
45%
|
9%
|
|
Chen visits
Central America
(September 7, 2004)
|
45%
|
9%
|
41%
|
5%
|
|
326 March
(March 28, 2005)
|
45%
|
6%
|
44%
|
5%
|
|
James Song visits the Mainland
(May 5, 2005)
|
41%
|
8%
|
46%
|
6%
|
|
After the recall motion
(October 18, 2006)
|
39%
|
6%
|
50%
|
5%
|
|
Chen’s New Year’s
Day talk
(January 2, 2007)
|
36%
|
6%
|
49%
|
9%
|
|
10 years after
Hong Kong ‘s return
to the Mainland
(June 15, 2007)
|
44%
|
6%
|
43%
|
7%
|
|
US criticizes the
“Join the UN Plebiscite”
(August 29, 2007)
|
42%
|
4%
|
47%
|
7%
|
|
“Siew-Hu Meeting”
(April 15, 2008)
|
46%
|
3%
|
43%
|
8%
|
|
Before the resumption of cross-Strait dialogue
(June 9, 2008)
|
45%
|
4%
|
45%
|
6%
|
|
ECFA controversies
(March 11, 2009)
|
49%
|
3%
|
44%
|
5%
|
Note: The public opinion poll was conducted from 6:30 pm to 10:00 pm between March 6 and 11 with 1,113 people over 20 years of age successfully surveyed and 348 people refusing to be surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.9 % with a 95 % confidence interval.
|
Attachment
: none
|
|