Opinion Poll on Xinbei Mayoral Election

Opinion Poll on Xinbei Mayoral Election

Source: TVBS

October 7, 2010

1.     Will you vote in the Xinbei mayoral election?

	2010/5/24	2010/7/16	2010/8/23	2010/10/5
Definitely	57%	56%	59%	58%
Probably	23%	27%	22%	25%
Not sure	6%	6%	5%	6%
Definitely not	14%	12%	14%	11%

2.     If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?

	2010/5/24	2010/7/16	2010/8/23	2010/10/5
KMT  Eric Chu	43%	46%	47%	47%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	44%	40%	40%	35%
Undecided	14%	14%	13%	17%

3.     No matter who you support, do you like Eric Chu or Tsai Ing-wen?

Eric Chu
	2010/5/24	2010/7/16	2010/8/23	2010/10/5
Like	48%	47%	45%	48%
Dislike	19%	19%	18%	19%
No opinion	34%	35%	37%	34%

Tsai Ing-wen
	2010/5/24	2010/7/16	2010/8/23	2010/10/5
Like	50%	45%	44%	46%
Dislike	24%	26%	26%	25%
No opinion	26%	29%	31%	28%

4.     Which of the following two candidates do you think could do the best job if elected as Xinbei City Mayor?

	2010/8/23	2010/10/5
KMT Eric Chu	42%	44%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	34%	32%
No opinion	24%	23%

5.     Which of the two following candidates do you think is most capable of implementing the construction of the Mass Rapid Transit system in Xinbei City?

KMT Eric Chu	47%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	27%
Don’t know	26%

This survey was conducted from 18:30 to 22:00 between October 4 and 5, with 1,013 people successfully interviewed.  The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 3.1 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

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