Opinion Poll on Xinbei City Mayoral Election

Opinion Poll on Xinbei City Mayoral Election

Source: China Times

November 4, 2010

If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?

KMT Eric Chu	2010/9/17	42.1%
	2010/11/04	44%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	2010/9/17	38.1%
	2010/11/04	38%
Undecided	2010/9/17	19.8%
	2010/11/04	18%

If the election were to be held tomorrow, who do you think would win?

KMT Eric Chu	2010/9/17	38.5%
	2010/11/04	46%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	2010/9/17	32.7%
	2010/11/04	23%
Hard to say	2010/9/17	28.8%
	2010/11/04	31%

This survey was conducted from November 1 to 2, with 1,016 people successfully interviewed.  The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 3% with a 95 % confidence interval.

Only 23 days remain before the five Special Municipalities Mayoral elections.  The Xinbei City Special Municipality Mayoral election has the largest number of eligible voters of all the elections.  Both pan-Blue and pan-Green camps are focusing their efforts in the final weeks before the election on garnering the support of the swing voters.  The KMT is planning to organize medium and large-scale campaign activities in 29 rural townships, townships and cities in Taipei County 【Editor’s note: Taipei County has been upgraded to Xinbei Special Municipality, effective January 1, 2011.】.  Chiang Cheng-yen, executive secretary of KMT candidate Eric Chu’s campaign headquarters, opined that the lack of passion among the voters was the biggest problem they were facing in the Xinbei race, so the key to success was to encourage greater voter turnout.  Lin Hsi-yao, executive secretary of DPP candidate Tsai Ing-wen’s campaign headquarters, stated that they planned to hold at least 20 campaign events in Taipei County through soft-sell mobilization of DPP supporters who, in turn, hopefully would affect the swing voters by demonstrating their passion.

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