Opinion Poll on Xinbei Mayoral Election

Opinion Poll on Xinbei Mayoral Election

Source: TVBS

November 15, 2010

1.      Will you vote in the Xinbei Mayoral election?

	2010/5/24	2010/7/16	2010/8/23	2010/10/5	2010/10/29	2010/11/9
Definitely	57%	56%	59%	58%	57%	58%
Probably	23%	27%	22%	25%	26%	25%
Not sure	6%	6%	5%	6%	5%	5%
Definitely not	14%	12%	14%	11%	12%	12%

2.      If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?

	2010/5/24	2010/7/16	2010/8/23	2010/10/5	2010/10/29	2010/11/9
KMT  Eric Chu	43%	46%	47%	47%	44%	45%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	44%	40%	40%	35%	40%	38%
Undecided	14%	14%	13%	17%	16%	17%

3.      No matter who you support, do you like Eric Chu and Tsai Ing-wen?

Eric Chu
	2010/5/24	2010/7/16	2010/8/23	2010/10/5	2010/10/29	2010/11/9
Like him very much	10%	9%	10%	9%	8%	11%
Somewhat like	38%	38%	35%	39%	37%	39%
Somewhat dislike	13%	12%	12%	13%	14%	13%
Dislike him very much	6%	7%	6%	6%	5%	4%
No opinion	34%	35%	37%	34%	36%	33%

Tsai Ing-wen
	2010/5/24	2010/7/16	2010/8/23	2010/10/5	2010/10/29	2010/11/9
Like her very much	12%	11%	12%	11%	13%	11%
Somewhat like	38%	34%	32%	35%	32%	35%
Somewhat dislike	16%	16%	16%	17%	18%	15%
Dislike her very much	8%	10%	10%	8%	7%	9%
No opinion	26%	29%	31%	28%	30%	30%

4.      Which of the following two candidates do you think could do the best job if elected as Xinbei City Mayor?

	2010/8/23	2010/10/5	2010/10/29	2010/11/9
KMT Eric Chu	42%	44%	43%	44%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	34%	32%	32%	31%
No opinion	24%	23%	26%	25%

5.      Which of the two following candidates do you think is most capable of implementing the construction of the Mass Rapid Transit system in Xinbei City?

	2010/10/5	2010/10/29	2010/11/9
KMT Eric Chu	47%	47%	51%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	27%	27%	24%
Don’t know	26%	26%	26%

This survey was conducted from 18:30 to 22:00 between November 7and 9, with 1,010 people successfully interviewed.  The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 3.1 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

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