Opinion Poll on Kaohsiung Mayoral Election

Opinion Poll on Kaohsiung Mayoral Election

Source: TVBS

November 15, 2010

1.      Will you vote in the Kaohsiung Mayoral election?

	2010/5/27	2010/7/29	2010/8/10	2010/9/2	2010/9/28	2010/10/25	2010/11/7
Definitely	64%	54%	60%	61%	60%	65%	64%
Probably	23%	25%	21%	23%	22%	21%	21%
Not sure	6%	8%	8%	6%	7%	6%	4%
Definitely not	7%	12%	11%	10%	11%	8%	11%

2.      If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?

	2010/5/27	2010/7/29	2010/8/10	2010/9/2	2010/9/28	2010/10/25	2010/11/7
DPP Chen Chu	62%	43%	46%	46%	42%	43%	41%
Independent Yang Chiu-hsing	--	26%	28%	22%	21%	26%	28%
KMT Huang Chao-shun	26%	16%	14%	16%	18%	16%	16%
Undecided	12%	15%	12%	16%	19%	15%	15%

3.      Which of the following candidates do you think would do the best job if elected as Kaohsiung City Mayor?

	2010/9/2	2010/10/25	2010/11/7
DPP Chen Chu	43%	39%	36%
Independent Yang Chiu-hsing	22%	32%	32%
KMT Huang Chao-shun	10%	9%	10%
No opinion	24%	20%	22%

4.      Mayor Chen Chu has been in office for more than three years.  Are you satisfied with her performance?

	2010/8/10	2010/9/2	2010/10/25	2010/11/7
Very satisfied	20%	15%	17%	16%
Somewhat satisfied	41%	46%	39%	40%
Somewhat dissatisfied	9%	13%	14%	15%
Very dissatisfied	4%	5%	9%	8%
No opinion	27%	20%	21%	21%

5.      Kaohsiung County executive Yang Chiu-hsing has been in office for more than four years.  Are you satisfied with her performance?

	2010/8/10	2010/9/2	2010/10/25	2010/11/7
Very satisfied	20%	13%	16%	13%
Somewhat satisfied	39%	44%	46%	46%
Somewhat dissatisfied	6%	10%	9%	6%
Very dissatisfied	2%	4%	4%	5%
No opinion	33%	29%	26%	29%

6.      No matter who you support, do you like the following candidates?

Chen Chu

	2010/8/10	2010/9/2	2010/10/25	2010/11/7
Like her very much	16%	14%	17%	15%
Somewhat like	36%	42%	33%	29%
Somewhat dislike	11%	12%	14%	15%
Dislike her very much	7%	8%	11%	12%
No opinion	30%	25%	25%	29%

Huang Chao-shun

	2010/8/10	2010/9/2	2010/10/25	2010/11/7
Like her very much	2%	6%	5%	5%
Somewhat like	19%	20%	22%	23%
Somewhat dislike	17%	20%	21%	19%
Dislike her very much	12%	11%	9%	11%
No opinion	49%	44%	42%	43%

Yang Chiu-hsing

	2010/8/10	2010/9/2	2010/10/25	2010/11/7
Like him very much	11%	8%	8%	8%
Somewhat like	32%	33%	37%	37%
Somewhat dislike	14%	16%	15%	12%
Dislike him very much	9%	12%	9%	10%
No opinion	33%	31%	31%	33%

This survey was conducted from 18:30 to 22:00 between November 4 and 7, with 1,013 people successfully interviewed.  The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 3.1 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

Attachment : none