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Opinion Poll on a 2012 Presidential Election between Ma Ying-jeou and Tsai Ing-wen
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 2010/11/29
Browse：2041
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Opinion Poll on a 2012 Presidential Election between Ma Ying-jeou and Tsai Ing-wen
Source: United Daily News
November 29, 2010
1. Who do you think is the most qualified candidate to run in the 2012 Presidential election on behalf of the DPP?
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Tsai Ing-wen
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23%
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Su Tseng-chang
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17%
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Lin I-hsiung
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6%
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Su Jia-chyuan
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5%
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Annette Lu
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4%
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Chen Chu
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3%
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Frank Hsieh
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2%
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Yu Shyi-kun
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1%
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2. Who do you support in the 2012 Presidential election?
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Ma Ying-jeou
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44%
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Tsai Ing-wen
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30%
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Undecided
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25%
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Ma Ying-jeou
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45%
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Su Tseng-chang
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28%
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Undecided
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26%
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The survey showed that only 68% of the voters who supported the Ma-Siew ticket in the 2008 Presidential election still voted for the KMT candidates in the Five Municipality Mayoral elections, and the other 32% of the voters either voted for the DPP candidates, cast invalid votes, or did not vote. More than 40% of these 32% of the voters were aged between 20 to 29.
In addition, 70% of the voters who supported the Ma-Siew ticket in the 2008 Presidential election would vote for President Ma in the 2012 election, 10% would vote for the DPP candidate, and 15% were undecided.
This survey was conducted on November 28, with 1,169 people successfully interviewed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.9 % with a 95 % confidence interval.
3. President Ma Ying-jeou’s approval ratings
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2008/5/20
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60%
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2008/6/19
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50%
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2008/7/17
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40%
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2008/8/25
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47%
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2008/11/18
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37%
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2009/5/18
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52%
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2009/8/18
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29%
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2009/9/7
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34%
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2009/12/6
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33%
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2010/2/27
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29%
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2010/3/18
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27%
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2010/4/25
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38%
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2010/5/17
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39%
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2010/11/28
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47%
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4. DPP Chairperson Tsai Ing-wen’s approval ratings
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2008/11/06
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32%
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2009/5/18
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27%
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2009/12/6
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43%
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2010/2/27
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46%
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2010/4/25
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50%
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2010/11/28
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47%
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5. Which party do you think won the five Special Municipality Mayoral elections?
6. Are you satisfied with the results of the five Special Municipality Mayoral elections?
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Satisfied
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51%
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Dissatisfied
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29%
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The survey also found that the shooting of KMT politician Sean Lien in Taipei County before the election day influenced 4% of voters. 3/4 of those 4% of the voters were encouraged to vote and 1/4 changed the candidate they supported.
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Attachment
: none
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