Relations Between Washington, Beijing and Taipei after the Meeting between President Obama and Chinese President Hu Jintao

Relations Between Washington, Beijing and Taipei after the Meeting between President Obama and Chinese President Hu Jintao

Source: TVBS

February 10, 2011

1.     Do you know that the Mainland’s President Hu Jintao visited the United States in January and met with President Obama?

Yes	73%
No	27%

2.     Overall, do you have a good impression of Hu Jintao?

Good	35%
Bad	28%
No opinion	37%

3.     Overall, do you have a good impression of US President Obama?

Good	61%
Bad	8%
No opinion	31%

4.     If a cross-Strait war breaks out, do you think that the US government will send troops to help defend Taiwan?

	2001/7/19	2002/2/22	2004/6/23	2011/1/28
Definitely yes	18%	26%	23%	19%
Probably	37%	38%	36%	38%
Probably not	18%	14%	18%	18%
Definitely not	7%	5%	10%	9%
Don’t know	20%	16%	13%	17%

5.     As far as the current situation is concerned, do you think that relations between the Mainland and Taiwan are hostile or friendly?

	1998/7/26	2002/1/29	2002/2/22	2002/7/22	2002/8/19	2003/3/31	2004/5/24	2006/2/7
Hostile	56%	35%	45%	51%	57%	36%	62%	40%
Friendly	22%	25%	29%	17%	13%	33%	11%	31%
Neither hostile nor friendly	6%	6%	5%	7%	7%	5%	7%	5%
Both hostile and friendly	3%	5%	5%	7%	4%	3%	3%	5%
No opinion	14%	30%	16%	18%	19%	23%	18%	19%

	2006/3/7	2008/11/10	2009/3/11	2011/1/28
Hostile	47%	32%	33%	34%
Friendly	29%	46%	37%	47%
Neither hostile nor friendly	5%	3%	5%	2%
Both hostile and friendly	4%	2%	4%	3%
No opinion	15%	16%	20%	15%

 

6.     As far as the current situation is concerned, do you think that relations between the Mainland and the US are hostile or friendly?

	2002/2/22	2011/1/28
Hostile	28%	38%
Friendly	42%	39%
Neither hostile nor friendly	5%	2%
Both hostile and friendly	7%	3%
No opinion	18%	18%

7.     As far as the current situation is concerned, do you think that relations between the US and Taiwan are hostile or friendly?

	2002/2/22	2011/1/28
Hostile	2%	4%
Friendly	78%	78%
Neither hostile nor friendly	5%	2%
Both hostile and friendly	2%	1%
No opinion	13%	15%

8.     Since President Ma took office, both sides of the Strait have been engaged in consultations and signed various agreements.  Overall, do you think the newly-signed cross-Strait agreements will be beneficial, detrimental or have no impact on Taiwan’s future development?

	2009/12/17	2011/1/28
Beneficial	30%	48%
Detrimental	31%	25%
No impact	13%	16%
No opinion	26%	11%

9.     Are you confident that the government will safeguard Taiwan’s interests while engaging in consultations and signing agreements with the Mainland?

Very confident	9%
Somewhat confident	30%
Somewhat unconfident	28%
Very unconfident	25%
No opinion	8%

10. Some people believe that the Ma administration’s cross-Strait policy is leaning toward the Mainland. Do you agree?

	2008/8/26	2008/10/28	2008/11/10	2009/3/11	2009/5/4	2009/5/21	2009/12/17	2011/1/28
Agree	42%	46%	42%	43%	47%	43%	52%	53%
Disagree	44%	40%	47%	40%	42%	40%	33%	39%
No opinion	14%	14%	11%	16%	11%	18%	15%	9%

11. Future Aspirations in Cross-Strait Relations

	2000/3/13	2000/5/20	2001/4/30	2002/8/4	2003/3/31	2003/6/30	2003/12/4	2004/5/7	2004/9/7	2004/12/22
Leaning toward Independence	15%	16%	17%	20%	22%	22%	17%	19%	24%	19%
Leaning toward Unification	15%	14%	18%	12%	23%	10%	8%	10%	11%	11%
Maintain status quo	56%	55%	49%	58%	42%	58%	66%	64%	54%	59%
No opinion	16%	15%	16%	11%	13%	11%	8%	7%	11%	10%

	2005/3/14	2005/4/28	2006/10/18	2007/3/5	2007/8/29	2008/4/15	2008/10/28	2009/3/11	2009/12/17	2011/1/28
Leaning toward Independence	21%	17%	19%	15%	23%	19%	24%	19%	20%	21%
Leaning toward Unification	8%	10%	11%	9%	8%	6%	5%	5%	4%	9%
Maintain status quo	58%	58%	60%	62%	58%	60%	58%	64%	64%	61%
No opinion	12%	12%	10%	14%	11%	15%	14%	12%	12%	9%

12. If there is only one option, do you hope that Taiwan becomes an independent state or reunifies with the Mainland?

	2007/3/5	2007/6/15	2007/8/29	2008/6/9	2008/10/28	2009/3/11	2009/12/17	2011/1/28
Taiwan Independence	55%	61%	65%	65%	68%	66%	68%	68%
Unification with the Mainland	25%	23%	21%	19%	14%	17%	13%	18%
No opinion	20%	16%	13%	16%	18%	18%	19%	14%

13. In our society, some consider themselves as Chinese and some as Taiwanese.  Do you think that you are Taiwanese or Chinese? (no option to choose both Taiwanese and Chinese)

	2000/6/30	2008/6/9	2009/3/11	2011/1/28
Taiwanese	58%	68%	72%	72%
Chinese	18%	18%	16%	17%
Don’t know/Decline to answer	24%	14%	13%	11%

14. National identity of the people in Taiwan

	1999/7/12	2000/3/6	2000/4/28	2002/8/9	2003/4/14	2004/3/1	2004/9/1	2004/9/7	2005/3/28
Taiwanese	35%	34%	37%	35%	33%	43%	40%	45%	45%
Chinese	9%	8%	9%	9%	6%	7%	6%	9%	6%
Both	50%	53%	51%	52%	54%	44%	45%	41%	44%
Don’t know	5%	5%	3%	5%	6%	6%	9%	5%	5%

	2005/5/5	2006/10/18	2007/1/2	2007/6/15	2007/8/29	2008/4/15	2009/3/11	2011/1/28
Taiwanese	41%	39%	36%	44%	42%	46%	49%	50%
Chinese	8%	6%	6%	6%	4%	3%	3%	3%
Both	46%	49%	49%	43%	47%	43%	44%	43%
Don’t know	6%	9%	9%	7%	7%	8%	5%	5%

15. Chinese philanthropist Chen Guangbiao gave out red envelopes (containing cash gifts) to the poor in Taiwan.  Do you support him?

Yes	50%
No	38%
No opinion	13%

Note: The latest poll was conducted from 18:30 pm to 22:00 pm between January 27 and 28 with 888 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 3.3 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

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