Opinion Poll on Running Mate in the 2012 Presidential Election

Opinion Poll on Running Mate in the 2012 Presidential Election

Source: TVBS

June 2, 2011

1.     The legislative elections and the Presidential election will be held on January 14th, 2012.  Are you going to vote?

	2011/4/27	2011/5/19	2011/5/30
Definitely yes	64%	61%	59%
Possibly	22%	23%	22%
Not sure	6%	5%	6%
Definitely no	9%	11%	13%

2.     If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?

	2011/4/27	2011/5/19	2011/5/30
KMT Ma Ying-jeou	43%	45%	46%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	42%	44%	42%
Independent Ellen Huang	-	0%	1%
Undecided	15%	10%	10%

3.     According to press reports, President Ma Ying-jeou has three possible running mates.  Which of the following candidates do you prefer?

Wang Jin-pyng	31%
Wu Den-yih	26%
Vincent Siew	23%
No opinion	20%

4.     According to press reports, Tsai Ing-wen has three possible running mates.  Which of the following candidates do you prefer?

Su Tseng-chang	37%
Su Jia-chyuan	22%
Perng Fai-nan	17%
No opinion	25%

5.     Which of the following tickets would you vote for in the 2012 Presidential election?

Ma Ying-jeou - Wu Den-yih : Tsai Ing-wen-Su Tseng-chang	42% : 48%
Ma Ying-jeou - Wu Den-yih : Tsai Ing-wen-Su Jia-chyuan	46% : 44%
Ma Ying-jeou - Wu Den-yih : Tsai Ing-wen-Perng Fai-nan	45% : 44%
Ma Ying-jeou -Vincent Siew : Tsai Ing-wen-Su Tseng-chang	43% : 46%
Ma Ying-jeou -Vincent Siew : Tsai Ing-wen-Su Jia-chyuan	47% : 42%
Ma Ying-jeou -Vincent Siew : Tsai Ing-wen-Perng Fai-nan	46% : 42%
Ma Ying-jeou - Wang Jin-pyng : Tsai Ing-wen-Su Tseng-chang	44% : 45%
Ma Ying-jeou - Wang Jin-pyng : Tsai Ing-wen-Su Jia-chyuan	48% : 41%
Ma Ying-jeou - Wang Jin-pyng : Tsai Ing-wen-Perng Fai-nan	46% : 41%

The latest poll was conducted from May 26 to 30 with 1,181 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.9 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

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