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ERA Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
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 2011/07/13
Browse：1601
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ERA Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
Source: ERA Survey Research Center
July 13, 2011
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01) The legislative elections and the Presidential election will be held on January 14th, 2012. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?
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Total
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DPP
Tsai Ing-wen
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KMT
Ma Ying-Jeou
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Don’t know/
Declined to answer
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Total
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33.1%
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38.6%
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28.4 %
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1075
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Pan-Blue
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9.3%
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75.6%
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15.2%
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463
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Pan-Green
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72.9%
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8.4 %
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18.7%
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368
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Neutral
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18.3%
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11.1%
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70.6%
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180
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6/21
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37.35%
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34.9%
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27.76%
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982
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02) If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?
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Total
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DPP
Tsai Ing-wen
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KMT
Ma Ying-Jeou
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PFP
James Soong
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Don’t know/Declined to answer
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Total
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33.9%
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35.8%
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8.6%
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21.6%
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1075
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Pan-Blue
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7.1%
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70.1%
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11.7%
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11.1%
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463
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Pan-Green
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77.5%
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7.9%
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6.0%
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8.6%
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368
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Neutral
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20.6%
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10.8%
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4.8%
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63.8%
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180
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03) We have adopted a "single-seat district, two-ballot" electoral system in our Legislative elections. Voters cast two votes, one for the candidate they support, and the other for the political party they support. Which of the following parties will you vote for?
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Total
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KMT
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DPP
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PFP
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Taiwan Solidarity Union
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Non-partisan Solidarity
Union
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New Party
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Other parties
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Don’t know/Declined to answer
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Total
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36.7%
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31%
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3.7%
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1.6%
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2.9%
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0.6%
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0.3%
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23.2%
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1075
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04) Former President Lee Teng-hui was indicted for corruption and money-laundering by the Special Investigation Unit (SIU) last week. Do you think the indictment was the result of political manipulation by President Ma?
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Total
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Yes
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No
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Don’t know/Declined to answer
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Total
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31.6%
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39.1%
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29.3%
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1075
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Pan-Blue
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16.9%
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62.7%
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21.4%
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463
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Pan-Green
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57.3%
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21.3%
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21.4%
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368
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Neutral
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20.1%
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21.3%
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58.6%
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180
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05) In your opinion, do you believe former President Lee Teng-hui was innocent?
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Total
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Yes
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No
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Don’t know/Declined to answer
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Total
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20.4%
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50.6%
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29.0%
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1075
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Pan-Blue
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13.3%
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66.2%
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20.6%
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463
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Pan-Green
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35.9%
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41.9%
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22.2%
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368
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Neutral
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8.6%
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34.8%
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56.6%
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180
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06) Do you think former President Lee Teng-hui's indictment benefits President Ma Ying-jeou or Tsai Ing-wen in the 2012 Presidential election?
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Total
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DPP
Tsai Ing-wen
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KMT
Ma Ying-jeou
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Don’t know/Declined to answer
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Total
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44.3%
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20.2%
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35.5%
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1075
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Pan-Blue
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46.1%
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26.5%
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27.4%
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463
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Pan-Green
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55.4%
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19.2%
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25.5%
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368
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Neutral
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24.2%
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8.0%
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67.8%
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180
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07) President Ma Ying-jeou has been in office for more than three years. Are you satisfied with his performance as President?
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Total
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Extremely satisfied
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Somewhat satisfied
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Somewhat dissatisfied
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Extremely dissatisfied
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Don’t know/Declined to answer
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Total
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3.9%
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34.1%
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28.3%
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21.2%
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12.5%
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1075
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Pan-Blue
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8.1%
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58.9%
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21.4%
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6.4%
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5.1%
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463
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Pan-Green
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0.6%
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10.4%
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38.7%
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45.0%
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5.4%
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368
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Neutral
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0.4%
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23.4%
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25.9%
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15.7%
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34.6%
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180
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6/21
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41.13%
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46.18%
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12.68%
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982
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The latest poll was conducted from 18:00 pm to 22:00 pm between July 8 and 9 with 1,075 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.99 % with a 95 % confidence interval.
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Attachment
: none
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