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TVBS Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
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 2011/08/17
Browse：1433
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TVBS Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election
Source: TVBS
Aug 15, 2011
1. The Presidential election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14th, 2012. Are you going to vote?
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2011/4/27
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2011/5/19
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2011/5/30
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2011/6/20
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2011/7/7
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2011/7/21
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2011/8/15
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Definitely yes
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64%
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61%
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59%
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59%
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57%
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59%
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65%
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Possibly
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22%
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23%
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22%
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23%
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23%
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22%
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20%
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Not Sure
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6%
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5%
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6%
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7%
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6%
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6%
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4%
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Definitely no
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9%
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11%
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13%
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10%
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13%
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14%
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11%
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2. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?
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2011/4/27
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2011/5/19
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2011/5/30
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2011/6/20
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2011/7/7
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2011/7/21
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2011/8/15
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KMT Ma Ying-jeou
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43%
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45%
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46%
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44%
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44%
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45%
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46%
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DPP Tsai Ing-wen
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42%
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44%
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42%
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39%
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36%
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38%
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39%
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Independent Ellen Huang
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-
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0%
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1%
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1%
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2%
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1%
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0%
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Undecided
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15%
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10%
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10%
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16%
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17%
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16%
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14%
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3. According to press reports, People First Party Chairman James Soong may still decide to participate in the 2012 Presidential election. If James Soong becomes a fourth candidate, and you were to vote tomorrow, which of the following candidates would you vote for?
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2011/7/21
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2011/8/15
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KMT Ma Ying-jeou
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38%
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39%
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DPP Tsai Ing-wen
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36%
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35%
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PFP James Soong
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13%
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16%
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Independent Ellen Huang
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1%
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0%
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Undecided
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12%
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9%
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4. Our legislative elections have adopted a "single-seat district, two-ballot" electoral system. Voters cast two ballots, one for the candidate they support, and the other for the political party they support. Did you know this?
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2011/6/7
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2011/7/7
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2011/7/21
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2011/8/15
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Yes
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42%
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34%
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35%
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40%
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No
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58%
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66%
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65%
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60%
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5. In the legislative elections, which party candidate do you plan to vote for in your district?
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2011/7/21
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2011/8/15
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KMT
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31%
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32%
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DPP
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25%
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26%
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PFP
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1%
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2%
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Undecided
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41%
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39%
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6. In addition to casting a ballot for the candidate you support, you also need to cast a ballot for a party. Which of the following parties will you vote for?
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2011/6/7
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2011/7/7
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20117/21
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2011/8/15
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KMT
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38%
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36%
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37%
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36%
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DPP
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31%
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30%
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31%
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31%
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People First Party
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2%
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3%
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5%
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8%
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Taiwan Solidarity Union
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1%
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1%
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2%
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2%
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Non-Partisan Solidarity Union
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2%
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2%
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1%
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1%
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New Party
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0.4%
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1%
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1%
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1%
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Other parties
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0.5%
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0.3%
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2%
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1%
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Not yet decided
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25%
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28%
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22%
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20%
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7. No matter for whom you plan to vote, which of the following candidates do you believe will win the 2012 Presidential election?
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2011/8/15
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Ma Ying-jeou
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45%
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Tsai Ing-wen
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26%
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James Soong
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5%
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Don't Know
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23%
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The latest poll was conducted from 18:30 pm to 21:00 pm between Aug 11 and 15 with 1,234 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.8 % with a 95 % confidence interval.
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Attachment
: none
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