Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

Source: Now News

October 13, 2011

Support ratings for Presidential candidates according to polls conducted by Taiwan’s various media oulets

	Now News	TVBS	China Times	ERA News	Liberty Times	Apple Daily	United Daily News
Date	2011/10/13	2011/9/28	2011/10/12	2011/9/17	2011/9/17	2011/9/19	2011/9/14
KMT Ma Ying-jeou	37%	40%	36%	36.3%	31.61%	39.7%	40%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	30.5%	33%	30.6%	28.5%	28.61%	29.64%	32%
PFP James Soong	13.3%	14%	13.2%	11.2%	13.44%	16.21%	13%

Which of the following candidates do you think is the most likely to be elected as President?

KMT Ma Ying-jeou	49.8%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	23%
PFP James Soong	3.3%

Do you believe that James Soong will run in the 2012 Presidential election through to the end?

Yes	48.7%
No	33.3%
No opinion	21%

Trust in candidate’s capability to govern the nation

KMT Ma Ying-jeou	34.5%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	21.6%
PFP James Soong	20.1%

The Presidential election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14th, 2012.  Are you going to vote?

Definitely yes	60.4%
Possibly	25.1%
Not sure	10.1%
No opinion	4.4%

Our legislative elections have adopted a "single-seat district, two-ballot" electoral system. Voters cast two ballots, one for the candidate they support, and the other for the political party they support. In addition to casting a ballot for the candidate you support, you also need to cast a ballot for a party. Which of the following parties will you vote for?

KMT	38.3%
DPP	29.4%
PFP	4.7%
No opinion	22.7%

The latest poll was conducted between October 11 and 12 with 1,222 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.80 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

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