Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

Source: The Journalist

October 14, 2011

1. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the two following tickets would you support?

KMT Ma-Wu ticket	36.2%
DPP Tsai-Su ticket	28.4%
PFP James Soong	9.7%
No response	25.7%

2. Our legislative elections have adopted a "single-seat district, two-ballot" electoral system. Voters cast two ballots, one for the candidate they support, and the other for the political party they support. In addition to casting a ballot for the candidate you support, you also need to cast a ballot for a party. Which of the following parties will you vote for if James Soong runs in the 2012 Presidential election through to the end?

KMT	36.6%
DPP	29.4%
PFP	6.3%
No opinion	27.4%

3. If James Soong withdraws from the 2012 Presidential election and you were to vote tomorrow, which of the two following tickets would you support?

KMT Ma-Wu ticket	41.4%
DPP Tsai-Su ticket	33.3%
No response	25.3%

4. Do you think James Soong should run in the 2012 Presidential election through to the end?

Definitely Yes	13.8%
Maybe	22.1%
No	21.1%
Definitely No	16.5%

5. If James Soong withdraws from the 2012 Presidential election in the end, would you switch your support to President Ma Ying-jeou or DPP Tsai Ing-wen?

KMT Ma Ying-jeou	42.9%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	33.9%
No opinion	23.2%

6. When James Soong’s supporters were asked who they would switch their support to if James Soong withdrew from the 2012 Presidential election, President Ma Ying-jeou or DPP Tsai Ing-wen?

KMT Ma Ying-jeou	38.8%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	28.2%
Undecided	33.0%

Note: The latest poll was conducted from 18:30 pm to 22:00 pm between October 7 and 8 with 1,062 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 3.0 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

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