Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

Source: United Daily News

October 17, 2011

1. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you support?

	2011/7/1		2011/8/14		2011/9/14		2011/10/15
	Ma Ying-jeou (KMT)	Tsai Ing-wen (DPP)	Ma Ying-jeou	Tsai Ing-wen	Ma-Wu ticket	Tsai-Su ticket	Ma-Wu ticket		Tsai-Su ticket
Overall	43	37	44	36	46	39	46		36
Taipei City, New Taipei City, and Keelung	45	37	50	32	51	35	49		34
Taoyuan, HsinChu and Miaoli	50	31	51	27	55	30	55		31
Taichung, Changhua and Nantou	45	32	45	33	44	39	46		32
Yulin, Chiayi, and Tainan	32	48	33	44	36	45	38	44
Kaohsiung, Pingtung, and Penghu	38	44	37	44	36	49	38	43
Yilan, Hualien, Taitung, Kinmen and Matsu	43	29	46	33	50	34	57	25

2. If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you support?

	2011/9/14	2011/10/15
Ma Ying-jeou	40%	43%
Tsai Ing-wen	32%	32%
James Soong	13%	11%
Undecided	14%	14%

3. Our legislative elections have adopted a "single-seat district, two-ballot" electoral system. Voters cast two ballots, one for the candidate they support, and the other for the political party they support. Which political party do you support?

	2011/8/14	2011/9/14	2011/10/15
KMT	37%	38%	39%
DPP	30%	34%	31%
PFP	5%	4%	5%
Other political parties	2%	2%	2%

4. The Presidential election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14^th, 2012.  Did you know this?

6 months before the election	31%
5 months before the election	32%
4 months before the election	36%
3 months before the election	44%

The latest poll was conducted between October 10 and 15 with 2,008people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.2 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

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