Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

Source: Now News

November 8, 2011

1) If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you support?

KMT Ma-Wu ticket	35.0%
DPP Tsai-Su ticket	33.2%
PFP James Soong	13.1%
Undecided	8.7%

2) Which of the following candidates do you think is the most likely to be elected as President?

KMT Ma Ying-jeou	41.1%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	30.3%
PFP James Soong	3.1%

3) Our legislative elections have adopted a "single-seat district, two-ballot" electoral system. Voters cast two ballots, one for the candidate they support, and the other for the political party they support. In addition to casting a ballot for the candidate you support, you also need to cast a ballot for a party. Which of the following parties will you vote for?

KMT	34.4%
DPP	33.1%
PFP	4.2%
Other political parties	5.6%
No opinion	22.7%

4) The Presidential election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14th, 2012.  Are you going to vote?

Definitely yes	61.3%
Possibly	24.0%
Not sure	12.1%
No opinion	2.7%

5) Support ratings for Presidential candidates according to polls conducted by Taiwan’s various media outlets (arranged by Now News)

	Now News	TVBS	China Times	Liberty Times	Apple Daily	United Daily News
Date	2011/11/18	2011/11/4	2011/11/7	2011/10/27	2011/10/18	2011/10/17
KMT Ma Ying-jeou	35.0%	38%	41%	31.9%	34%	43%
DPP Tsai Ing-wen	33.2%	35%	37%	30.3%	26.4%	32%
PFP James Soong	13.1%	14%	10%	11.1%	10.2%	11%

The latest poll was conducted between November 6 and 7 with 1,216 people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.81 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

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