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TVBS Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

icon2011/12/29
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TVBS Opinion Poll on 2012 Presidential Election

 

 

 

Source: TVBS

December 27, 2011

 

1.      The Presidential Election and the legislative elections will be held on January 14th, 2012.  Are you going to vote?

 

 

2011/4/27

2011/5/19

2011/5/30

2011/6/20

2011/7/7

2011/7/21

2011/8/15

2011/8/30

2011/9/14

Definitely yes

64%

61%

59%

59%

57%

59%

65%

59%

56%

Possibly

22%

23%

22%

23%

23%

22%

20%

21%

24%

Not Sure

6%

5%

6%

7%

6%

6%

4%

6%

6%

Definitely no

9%

11%

13%

10%

13%

14%

11%

14%

14%

 

 

2011/9/20

2011/9/22

2011/9/28

2011/11/3

2011/11/10

2011/11/16

Definitely yes

56%

57%

55%

58%

59%

61%

Possibly

27%

25%

26%

25%

23%

22%

Not Sure

5%

6%

5%

5%

5%

5%

Definitely no

13%

12%

13%

12%

13%

11%

 

 

2011/11/23

2011/12/1

2011/12/3

2011/12/7

2011/12/10

2011/12/14

2011/12/22

Definitely yes

60%

60%

66%

62%

64%

63%

62%

Possibly

22%

21%

19%

21%

18%

21%

23%

Not Sure

4%

7%

5%

5%

7%

6%

4%

Definitely no

13%

12%

10%

12%

11%

10%

11%

 

 

2011/12/27

Definitely yes

63%

Possibly

23%

Not Sure

4%

Definitely no

11%

 

 

2. The Central Election Commission (CEC) confirmed that People First Party Chairman James Soong James Soong has registered as a candidate in the 2012 Presidential Election.  If you were to vote tomorrow, which of the three following tickets would you vote for?

 

 

2011/7/21

2011/8/15

2011/8/30

2011/9/14

2011/9/20

2011/9/22

2011/9/28

KMT Ma-Wu ticket

38%

39%

40%

42%

43%

42%

40%

DPP Tsai-Su ticket

36%

35%

32%

34%

32%

32%

33%

PFP Soong-Lin ticket

13%

16%

17%

14%

14%

15%

14%

Undecided

12%

9%

12%

10%

11%

11%

13%

 

 

2011/10/6

2011/10/12

2011/10/20

2011/10/26

2011/10/31

2011/11/3

2011/11/10

2011/11/16

2011/11/23

KMT Ma-Wu ticket

40%

38%

43%

42%

39%

38%

39%

39%

40%

DPP Tsai-Su ticket

35%

34%

35%

33%

33%

35%

38%

39%

38%

PFP Soong-Lin ticket

13%

15%

12%

13%

9%

14%

9%

9%

7%

Undecided

13%

13%

10%

12%

20%

13%

14%

12%

15%

 

 

2011/12/1

2011/12/3

2011/12/7

2011/12/10

2011/12/14

2011/12/22

2011/12/27

KMT Ma-Wu ticket

40%

38%

41%

39%

40%

41%

44%

DPP Tsai-Su ticket

34%

32%

37%

39%

38%

35%

38%

PFP Soong-Lin ticket

7%

12%

8%

6%

7%

8%

6%

Undecided

19%

18%

14%

16%

15%

16%

12%

 

 

3.  Overall, which of the following candidates do you think can be trusted?

 

KMT Ma Ying-jeou

DPP Tsai Ing-wen

PFP James Soong

Can be trusted very much

20%

14%

6%

Can be trusted to a degree

35%

34%

36%

Cannot be trusted to a degree

15%

17%

18%

Cannot be trusted at all

12%

12%

9%

No opinion

17%

23%

31%

 

4.  President Ma Ying-jeou has been in office for three years.  Are you satisfied with his performance?

 

2008/6/17

2008/7/16

2008/8/26

2008/10/2

Yes

41%

30%

41%

23%

No

37%

49%

40%

59%

No opinion

21%

21%

19%

18%

 

 

2008/11/18

2009/5/21

2009/6/10

2009/8/18

Yes

34%

41%

41%

16%

No

52%

40%

37%

65%

No opinion

15%

19%

22%

19%

 

 

2009/9/10

2009/10/7

2010/1/20

2010/3/18

Yes

29%

32%

20%

27%

No

51%

46%

56%

51%

No opinion

20%

23%

24%

22%

 

 

2010/4/25

2010/5/19

2011/3/15

2011/4/7

Yes

30%

33%

36%

30%

No

48%

47%

41%

50%

No opinion

22%

20%

23%

20%

 

 

2011/5/19

2011/6/20

2011/9/22

2011/10/12

2011/12/27

Yes

36%

32%

32%

32%

40%

No

49%

47%

48%

47%

45%

No opinion

15%

21%

21%

21%

15%

 

 

5.  If elected President, which of the following three candidates do you think is most capable of leading Taiwan to overcome the impact the European sovereign debt crises may have on Taiwan’s economy ?

 

2011/12/1

2011/12/27

KMT Ma Ying-jeou

39%

40%

DPP Tsai Ing-wen

21%

22%

PFP James Soong

7%

7%

Don’t know

33%

31%

 

 

6.  Do you know about DPP Presidential candidate Tsai Ing-wen’s Yu-Chang Biologics case?

 

2011/12/14

2011/12/22

2011/12/27

Yes

64%

75%

74%

No

36%

25%

26%

 

 

7.  Do you think that the KMT is smearing DPP Presidential candidate Tsai Ing-wen or exposing a scandal in the Yu-Chang Biologics case?

 

2011/12/14

2011/12/22

2011/12/27

Smearing Tsai Ing-wen

32%

31%

33%

Exposing a scandal

30%

31%

32%

Don’t know

38%

38%

35%

 

8.  If you plan on voting for James Soong but decide he is unlikely to win the 2012 Presidential Election, will you switch your vote to Ma Ying-jeou or Tsai Ing-wen, or insist on voting for James Soong?

 

 

2011/11/10

2011/11/16

2011/12/7

2011/12/14

2011/12/22

2011/12/27

KMT Ma Ying-jeou

11%

19%

8%

9%

8%

15%

DPP Tsai Ing-wen

3%

8%

9%

2%

5%

6%

PFP James Soong

76%

65%

76%

78%

77%

75%

Cast invalid votes/Don’t go to vote

2%

5%

1%

6%

5%

1%

Don’t know

8%

3%

5%

4%

4%

2%

 

 

 

Note: The latest poll was conducted from 18:30 pm to 22:00 pm between December 26 and 27, with 1,257people surveyed. The margin of error associated with this sample is plus or minus 2.8 % with a 95 % confidence interval.

 

 

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